Charlie Cook has an interesting and thorough analysis of the latest NBC/WSJ poll, and compares the numbers to the ones faced by Democrats before the last “wave” election of 1994, in which they lost both Houses of Congress.
On four out of five key indicators of how voters will vote in Congressional elections the GOP is faring substantially worse now than the Democrats did in 1994, and is faring only marginally better on the fifth. Here’s how the numbers ran down:
Question                         1994          2006
Country headed in right         39%/48%     26%/61%
direction, wrong direction
Presidential job approval, Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 48%/43% Â Â Â Â 38%/57%
disapproval rating
Approval, Disapproval of         24%/67%     16%/75%
Congress
Generic congressional ballot    44% GOP/     52% Dem/
preference–”GOP” vs. “Dem”   38% Dem      37% GOP
Your incumbent deserves, Â Â Â Â Â 39%/49% Â Â Â Â Â 39%/45%
doesn’t deserve re-election
The GOP is just about out of time to turn this shipwreck around.
No related posts.
Comments on this entry are closed.